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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-25 13:36:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity over a broad area. Development of this system is becoming less likely, and this disturbance is expected to merge with a low pressure area approaching from the east in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area located about 500 miles south of eastern Mexico has become a little better organized during the last 24 hours. Environmental conditions are expected to steadily become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves generally westward, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move out of the Caribbean Sea and into the eastern Pacific by Tuesday or Wednesday. Some subsequent development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression could form south of Central America or the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the end of this week while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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