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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-18 07:00:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

788 ABPZ20 KNHC 180500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with a surface low located about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Significant development of this system is not expected before upper-level winds become unfavorable for further organization late on Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers centered about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to become somewhat conducive for development of this system by the weekend while it moves quickly westward at low latitudes. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form late this week several hundred miles southwest of Mexico. Some slow development of this system is possible by early next week while it moves westward or west-northwestward well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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