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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-21 13:27:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
487 ABPZ20 KNHC 211127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure are located a little more than 1700 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The system is already embedded within unfavorable upper-level winds and development is unlikely. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin on late Sunday or early Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwest coast of Mexico. Although this system is not showing any signs of organization at this time, conditions are forecast to become favorable for development and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. And yet another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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