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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-22 01:25:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

217 ABPZ20 KNHC 212324 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized during the past several hours in association with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Development of this system is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin by Sunday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Although there are still no signs of organization, environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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