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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-22 07:00:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
054 ABPZ20 KNHC 220500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located about 1250 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. The low is forecast to move westward at 10 to 15 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin by Sunday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Although this system remains disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form in a few days several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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