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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-03 13:50:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

912 ABPZ20 KNHC 031150 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while it moves west- northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave near Central America is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from a system to the northwest could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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