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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 17:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
414 ABPZ20 KNHC 041552 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 855 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to increase the development chances of the disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Updated: Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and the system is already showing signs of organization. A tropical depression could form over the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward nearly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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