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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-12 19:50:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

927 ABPZ20 KNHC 121750 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west of southwestern Mexico. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, some development of this system is possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico by the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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