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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-18 01:53:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

566 ABPZ20 KNHC 172353 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast through south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system and possible land interaction should prevent any significant or rapid development from occurring during the next day or so. However, this system could become a tropical depression on Wednesday or Thursday as it approaches Baja California Sur and enters the Gulf of California. Regardless of development, this broad disturbance will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern mainland Mexico later this week. Interests in Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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