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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-18 01:05:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Visible satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located just south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is slowly becoming better defined, however, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still disorganized. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers. Development, if any, should should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system remains nearly stationary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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