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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-19 07:03:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico has changed very little in organization during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a small low pressure system located just south of Guatemala has become more organized over the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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