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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-17 07:22:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

427 ABPZ20 KNHC 170522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for gradual development late this week, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds appear to be somewhat conducive for some slow development during the next few days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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