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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-18 19:22:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

534 ABPZ20 KNHC 181722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development during the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some additional development during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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