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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-19 07:00:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to be limited at this time. Environmental conditions could become a little more more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week before the system reaches cooler waters. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing an elongated area of showers and thunderstorms. This system remains disorganized, and conditions are becoming less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. The low is expected to move west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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