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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 01:21:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092321 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather associated with a broad area of low pressure is hugging the southern coast of Mexico, and some of the rainbands are already spreading inland over the state of Oaxaca. This system remains disorganized, but environmental conditions could favor some gradual development during the next 2 or 3 days while it moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development through the middle of next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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