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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 07:00:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather associated with a small low pressure system is located about 100 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. This disturbance remains disorganized and the thunderstorm activity is limited at this time. However, environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south- southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation early next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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