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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-10 13:43:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101143 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure has developed a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south- southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation early next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown

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