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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-14 14:28:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141228 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located more than 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form over the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters and upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system over the weekend while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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