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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-16 01:39:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152339 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. Regardless of development, moisture associated with this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Hagen

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