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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-17 07:22:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

277 ABPZ20 KNHC 170522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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