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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-18 01:48:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172348 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by early next week, and a tropical depression is expected to form on Monday or Tuesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave, located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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