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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-19 07:32:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday or Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A well-defined low pressure system located more 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually improve, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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