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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-20 19:37:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Although this system has not become better organized since yesterday, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. This system could produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over portions of southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Conditions have become less conducive for development, however a tropical depression could still form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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