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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-12 01:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Recent visible imagery and satellite-derived wind data indicate that this system has a broad closed surface circulation, but the associated showers and thunderstorms are somewhat limited and disorganized. However, any increase in thunderstorm activity will result in the formation of a tropical depression, and this will likely happen tonight or early Thursday while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Some development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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