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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-12 07:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120551 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 550 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains broad and somewhat elongated. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better organized, and the system is expected to become a tropical depression on Thursday while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. For additional information on this system, please refer to High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Development of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg
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