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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-14 01:45:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132345 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Little to no development of this system is anticipated while it moves slowly westward for the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well off the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America in a day or two. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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