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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 19:47:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located in the southwestern part of the basin. A small area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better organized. Any significant increase in organized thunderstorm activity will likely result in the formation of a tropical depression tonight or tomorrow. Beyond mid week, strong upper-level winds from the system to the east could inhibit further development while the low moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Thunderstorm activity associated with a larger low pressure area located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is also becoming better organized, with satellite-derived winds indicating that the circulation is also better defined. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in a day or two as the system moves west- northwestward near or a short distance offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America is associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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