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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 01:10:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162310 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Satellite data indicate that a small low pressure area located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better defined, however, the associated showers and thunderstorms still lack organization. Any significant increase in the organization of the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later tonight or on Tuesday while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A larger area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Although the circulation of this system is not yet well defined, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression within the next day or so. This disturbance is expected to move to the west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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