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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-24 19:49:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, which will move into the central Pacific basin this afternoon. A weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of hundred miles of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a day or two. Some development is possible later this week while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is likely to be absorbed over the weekend by the larger system that is expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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