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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-26 07:02:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has decreased and become less organized since the afternoon. Some development of this system is still possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly northward or north-northeastward for the next day or so. The disturbance is forecast to turn southeastward on Friday and environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development at that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern portion of the East Pacific basin. This system is expected to move westward during the next day or two into a region of deep southwesterly flow south of the southern coast of Mexico. A tropical depression is subsequently likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could cause heavy rainfall over southern and southwestern Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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