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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-28 01:28:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A rather large area of disturbed weather extends from Central America westward along the southwest coast of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is trying to form south-southeast of Acapulco in association with this disturbance, but there is no evidence of a well defined center at this time. Environmental conditions are very favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form within this area of disturbed weather during the next day or so, while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph near the southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along this portion of the coast should monitor the progress of the disturbance, since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required at any time on Saturday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is expected near the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific by early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system drifts slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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