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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 13:44:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized this morning, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By early next week, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development of this system during the next couple of days while the low moves little, and tropical cyclone formation is becoming less likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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