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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite data indicate that the wind field of a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not increased in organization. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression is still likely to form by tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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