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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 07:45:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150545 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west- northwestward at about 10 mph close to or over the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador is forecast to spread westward over Guatemala on Tuesday, and across southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings are likely going to be required for a portion of that area on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough. Some development of this system is possible in a few days while the system drifts southward or eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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