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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-16 01:15:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 80 miles south of coast of the Mexico/Guatemala border are beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or early Wednesday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, toward the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across El Salvador and Guatemala is forecast to spread westward over southern Mexico later tonight and Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. A Tropical Storm Watch or Warning could be required for a portion of the southeastern coast of Mexico tonight or early Wednesday. Interests in those areas should should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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