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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-18 19:35:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the west-central coast of Mexico are associated with a surface trough of low pressure. A weak low pressure system is expected to form along this trough tonight or Saturday, but significant development of the low is not expected before it moves inland over west-central Mexico by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Octave are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Octave are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Berg
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