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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-20 01:01:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192301 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the west-central coast of Mexico are associated with an area of low pressure area embedded within an elongated surface trough. Some development of this system is possible before it moves inland over west-central Mexico by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow while the it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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