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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-20 07:04:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200504 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located near the west-central coast of Mexico. Some additional development of this system is possible and a short-lived tropical depression could form on Sunday before it moves inland by Sunday night. Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a tropical depression, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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