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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-20 09:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200733 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1235 AM PDT Sun Oct 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special outlook issued to update discussion for the system near the west-central coast of Mexico. Recent satellite wind data and conventional satellite imagery indicate that the area of low pressure located near the west-central coast of Mexico has become better organized and is producing winds to near tropical storm strength. Some additional development is possible and this system has the potential to become a short-lived tropical depression or storm this morning or later today before it moves inland by Sunday night. Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a tropical cyclone, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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