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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 07:35:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230535 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. Although this system has changed little in organization today, gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days. The disturbance is forecast to move westward over cooler waters later this week, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for development in a couple of days, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression by this weekend while the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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