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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 19:20:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231720 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters after that time which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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