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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-12 01:32:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, but environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days. The system is not expected to move as quickly westward as originally forecast, and a slower westward to west-northwestward motion is now anticipated over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure extends from just west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development over the next several days, and this system will likely become a tropical depression by late this week while it moves generally west-northwestward away from the coast of southwest Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin within the next couple of days. Some subsequent gradual development of this system is possible later this week while the system moves slowly westward into the central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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