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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-13 01:19:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122319 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of Punta Eugenia, Mexico. Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to become better defined. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also showing some signs of organization. Conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Thursday while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure extends several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters later this weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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