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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 13:12:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151112 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and further development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Concentrated shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system has slowly become better organized since yesterday and environmental conditions appear favorable for further development today and tomorrow. A tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are beginning to show signs of organization. Conditions appear conducive for further development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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