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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 19:24:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151724 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and further development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A large area of persistent showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The disturbance does not appear to have developed a well-defined center yet, but conditions are expected to be favorable for further development today and tomorrow, and tropical depression is likely to form during that time. This system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A low pressure system located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of development. A broad and elongated closed low pressure system has formed, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to organize into bands. Although recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system does not yet have a well-defined center, environment conditions appear conducive for further development. A tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form tonight or on Sunday while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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