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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-24 19:47:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system located very near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is becoming better organized. This low is forecast to meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg

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