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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-10 19:45:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have changed little since early this morning in association with a small low pressure system located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. In addition, satellite data suggests that the low is not as well-defined as it was yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with the remnants of Norbert. Little to no development of this disturbance is expected over the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, by the middle of next week the disturbance is expected to begin moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph into an area where conditions are expected to become more favorable for some development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

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