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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-07 07:33:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070533 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 550 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the broad circulation is located well east of the thunderstorm activity and lacks a well-defined center. The disturbance still has the potential to become a tropical depression on Monday before environmental conditions become less favorable for development by Monday night. The system is forecast to move slowly west- southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days..high...70 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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