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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 13:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that a low pressure system located over 1400 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is showing signs of better organization this morning, with increased shower and thunderstorm activity mainly to the north of its center. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. By Tuesday, cooler waters and unfavorable upper-level winds will likely limit any further development of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch [ more ]

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