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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-30 01:35:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 292335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. At this time, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is poorly organized and confined to an area southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional gradual development is possible during the next several days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Beven [ more ]

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